Forecast through the weekend is cut and dry no big headaches facing forecasters....Come Sunday late afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again...Temps will be on the warm side today dewpoints will be lower..Good news for those who don't care for the humid conditions we have had the past week...Enjoy as that won't last long....
SFC ANALYSIS....
CDFNT that pushed through the area last night is well to the South of the area...Weak area of high pressure has built in during the overnight hrs...We find our next trouble maker down over CO...More on that later....
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT....
Nice warm dry day and less humid conditions ..1010 MB high pressure if FCSTD to camp out over the upper Midwest today through tonight,and across much of WI on Sunday...Highs today should make it to around the middle 80s with a dry NW flow...Tonight lows fall into the nice cool middle 50s....Sunday hoist a few problems for the FA..First out of the gates...Temps shall be around the middle 80s..Winds are FCSTD to switch back to the SE...This will allow more humid air to return back to the FA..2nd onto the track is the chances of showers and thunderstorms...Models show a WRMFNT moving into Southern MN..NAM is some what slower in bring this FNT North...GFS and ECMWF seen to have the better handle on this...Still some timing issues are slowing up with them two models also...So will blend the two together....AM leading more towards a small chance of showers and thunderstorms for the FA later in the afternoon...After 4 pm...Would have to agree with the SPC in keeping severe thunderstorms in IA,MO,and IL for Sunday...As upper levels are FCSTED to be warm once again this will cause a rather strong CAP over the area...Better chance of showers and thunderstorms come Sunday night to the FA...Could see some good rainfall amounts...Which is much needed once again...
MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.....
Warm and humid conditions still on the docket...Temps could soar from the middle to upper 80s..Confidence level for showers and storms are slim very slim in fact..Nevertheless with the WRMFNT pushing North will hold onto a slight chance of showers and storms...Am thinking morning hrs..Along with the overnight hrs of Monday....Which brings us to the lows for Monday..How does the warm humid middle 60s sound ? well that is what we are dealing out.....
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.....
WRMFNT pushed North of the FA this will allow for Sunny to PTLY CDLY skies...Temps are going to get hot...Am going to run from 87 to 92 degrees..It will also be humid dewpoints reach into the upper 60s,some models hinting at the lower 70s..Not sure if I can buy into that just yet...However it's a possibility...Wednesday and Thursday still look rather warm and humid with a chance of showers and thunderstorms...Thinking showers and thunderstorms will form over ND and push East/Southeast towards part of the FA..Can you say MCS...If this does indeed happen my Northern and Central FA has the best chance of showers and thunderbangers....This should have also been included in the Monday night's FCST...Temps in the middle 80s with lows in the lower to middle 60s seem the best way to run.....
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY....(JUNE 26 - JULY 6)
Temps do cool off into the lower 80s by Friday as a CLDFNT pushes through this will also bring in drier dewpoints...Will keep a chance of showers and thunderstorms going,though did entrain the idea about not having them...Long term models do show lower to middle 80s for Saturday with dewpoints going back into the 60s to lower 70s..As of right now Sunday looks to be cooler low 80s...Rest of this time frame temps look to hold in the 80s..By the 4th of July we could be facing temps close to the 90 degree mark once again holding into Sunday....For the most part this period looks to be dry...Come the 4th of July models are showing a system dropping South out of Canada...This could bring us a stormy 4th.....This remains to been seen,as this FCST cycle is so far out in time...Things can and normally change as we have seen.....
Side note will be heading out to Silver lake fishing tonight if anyone wants to come out feel free do so always nice to talk to people out there..Will be there around between 9:00 PM and 9:30 PM..Bring a fishing rod with you...If not I will be back out there Sunday night also same time! or call me to make sure I'm out there in case something comes up..Highly unlikely though..
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4 years ago
