Not to much to talk about as the dry Northwest flow refuse to give up...Though today will be warm!..It won't last long though...Longer term FSCT is looking better for warmer temps...
CURRENT CONDITIONS....
Temps at this 8 AM hour have warmed up rather nice lower 50s across much of the area under sunny skies after over night lows in the middle to upper 30s across the FA..Dewpoints have made it up into the lower 40s...Winds still calm to light...So all in all not a bad looking morning...
SFC ANALYSIS...
Large area of high pressure sitting over the upper Midwest this morning..One center over MI that is coming in at 1021 MBS...The other one sitting over Northeast NE/Northwest IA this one showing a pressure reading of 1022 MBS....Yet the third one is sitting over Eastern WY Western SD...This high is showing a reading of 1024 MBS....Meanwhile we see a CDFNT Sitting just North of ND, and Northwest of MN...This CDFNT reaches Northeast to a 1007 MB low pressure over Canada....
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT....
Today high pressure is FCSTED to move towards the East/Southeast..This will allow for warm Southwesterly wind today...Temps should have no problem reaching for the middle 70s under MSTLYsunny skies.....Tonight temps shall remain around the 50 degree mark as SFC based SW winds keep warmer air flowing into the are...Did INCR clouds tonight as the CDFNT up North starts to move closer to the FA....Friday...Really not to thrilled about rain chances with this CDFNT..However there may be a few showers and thunderstorms around from time to time...High on your first Friday on June shall be right around 70...Friday night I have decide to clear rain chances from the FSCT.. Lows are FCSTED to throttle back down into the lower 40s once again....
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT....
Temps still well below norms for this time of year...Weather charts look like Middle spring or early fall..Temps shall hang around the 60 degree mark for Saturday and only warm to the middle 60s by time Sunday rolls along...Lows in the middle 40s should work out just fine...Will bring a chance of showers in the FSCT for Saturday night as a low pressure system ejects Northeast out of the Rockies...Still think with all the Saturday events going one will be able to enjoy them without getting wet..We will watch this just in case the dry Northeasterly wind off of Lake Superior decide to turn more toward the SW....As of right now I'm banking on dry flow off of Lake Superior..That should keep showers at bay until the events have ended..Sunday We have a slightly better chance of showers still small though..Sunday night FCST gets to be a little more tricky as models are having a hard time with the next system poised to move into the upper Midwest..Nevertheless Sunday night looks to give us a better chance of showers and thunderstorms...We need it as drought conditions keep getting worst...
LONG TERM(MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY).....
Temps still on the cold side with highs starting the period in the lower 60s,warming to the middle 60s by the end of this period...Lows Lower for 40s on the docket...Showers and thunderstorms will be a possibility also....
LONGER TERM....THURSDAY 11 THROUGH SATURDAY 20....
Will temps warm up is the main question....Lets find out....
Thursday we start with temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s come Friday long range computer models showing temps moving up into the middle 70s as a low pressure draws up warmer air into the FA..Saturday also looks to be warm with temps in the lower to middle 70s We do cool back off by the 16th with highs dropping back into the 60s..Then back into the 70s for the 17th through the end of the FSCT cycle.....So with any luck we can break out of this Dry Northwest flow that we have for the most part been locked into for the last few months...As far as showers and thunderstorms go...Let us find out...We will have a chance of off and showers and thunderstorms through the period...The 14-through the 15th is really looking interesting...Still this is so far out in time I just won't bet the farm on it...It does appear right now this time frame is going to be an active one..With warm and humid conditions after we get past the 13 - 14 time frame.....Once again this FSCT cycle is so far out there, the error in busting is high..However if this all plays out this will be much needed rain and warmer temps shall be had without any problems....One can only hope...
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4 years ago
