***UPDATED FORECAST***
Forecast for the most will stand the way it is...However will take the chances of showers and storms out of FCST more details on this later....
TONIGHT...
Another spoke of energy spinning around the pesky upper level low over the GRTLKS is moving through Northern WI,this will slowly slide through the FA..So see no reason why to pull showers out of the FCST...Radar is showing this very well,along with the vis sat image....Temps still FCSTD to fall into upper 40s to lower 50s...Winds should slack off to around the 5 to 10 MPH range....
TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY....
Upper level low does pull off the E/NS and starts to fill/open up...Still around my FA clouds should prevail through much of the day..This will hold highs in the in the upper 50s to lower 60s on Wed...Wed night still should see MSTLY CLDY skies lows fall into the lower 50s most areas...Upper level low looses it's control on the FA Thur through Fri...Setting the stage for sunny skies and temps warming closer to norms for this time of year..Middle 70s to maybe upper 70s for both days...Lows should hold in the middle 50s....
JULY 4....
I have pulled showers and storms from the FCST as the ECMWF has come around to the thinking of the GFS...Not really sure why the changes,however with both models seeing eye to eye,have no reason to keep showers and thunderstorms alive....So good news for the campers...Along with the fireworks to light up the evening sky across the FA Saturday night....One of those weekends that us forecasters love the split flow...So stress level has come down a few notches...
LONGER TERM.....
I will leave stand the way it is...As long range models still showing more heat and humid conditions to take hold of the FA starting midweek....See below for info.....
Pervious long term forecast...
LONGER TERM.... (JULY 5 THROUGH JULY 16)
Sunday the 5 through Monday the 6...Should be dry with temps still in the upper 70s lows in the middle 50s....
Models are hinting at big changes coming in the weather pattern....Temps by Thur the 9 reach for the upper 80s maybe lower 90s..Temps are FCSTD to hold in the 80s with days into the 90s through out the rest of this time frame..Dewpoints will be on the increase, so it will be getting more humid as we work through this long term FCST...Looks like an active period coming up with showers and thunderstorms....
Special note....
Tonight I have two guests in the weather office.I'm happy they came over before 8 tonight!!..First one is Tammy which if you read this blog you already know her by her comments in the cbox area, she loves the weather,and is a upcoming storm chaser..Second is her Dad Randy who's is very supportive of Tammy in her dreams of becoming storm chaser as a hobby..She would like to become a forecaster for one of the news networks...Also Randy along with Tammy love to fish so we all have been fishing off and on...I knew Randy from the rink when I worked there,knew Tammy since she was like 5 again from the rink...So yeah, as fate would have it we were all able to re become friends once again, after not seeing them for like 4 or 5 yrs..So I guess I'm able to be found on the internet,whether that's a good thing or not I'm not sure yet.....Anyway both of them wanted to see how I come up with a forecast..To make a long story short,they never knew how much work goes into coming up with a forecast...
So if anyone out there would like to sit in and watch me do a forecast just email, that can be found in my profile...I have no problem with that..Only thing I ask that you write down your questions then after I have the forecasted posted,then I will go back and answer them and explain why this why that...With looking at the computer models...
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4 years ago
